• Does Coronary Calcium Score Predict Future Cardiac Function? Association of Subclinical Atherosclerosis with Left Ventricular Systolic and Diastolic Dysfunction at MR Imaging in an Elderly Cohort

    Radiology: Volume 257: Number 1—October 2010

    Does Coronary Calcium Score Predict Future Cardiac Function? Association of Subclinical Atherosclerosis with Left Ventricular Systolic and Diastolic Dysfunction at MR Imaging in an Elderly Cohort

    Patrick M. Colletti, MD Laurie D. Dustin, MS Nathan D. Wong, PhD Jabi E. Shriki, MD Miwa Kawakubo, MS Stanley P. Azen, PhD Robert C. Detrano, MD, PhD


    Purpose:
    To evaluate subclinical atherosclerosis measured by using coronary artery calcium (CAC) as a predictor of future left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic function in asymp¬tomatic elderly participants.

    Materials and Methods: The institutional review boards of the University of Southern California and the Harbor University of California Los Angeles Research and Education Institute (where the South Bay Heart Watch study was initially conducted) approved this HIPAA-compliant study of 386 participants (mean age, 75.2 years) from among the original 1461 participants in the longitudinal South Bay Heart Watch prospective investi­gation of subclinical atherosclerosis. CAC at computed to­mography was correlated with LV ejection fraction (LVEF), regional wall motion abnormalities (RWMAs), and peak filling rate (PFR) assessed a mean of 11.4 years ± 0.6 (standard deviation) later with cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. Analysis of variance and covariance testing was performed with the Wald test, testing for trends across the CAC groups. Covariates included age, level of total cholesterol, level of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, use of lipid-lowering medication, and smoking status.

    Results: Mean LVEF was 60.3% ± 9.9, with 11 (2.8%) of 386 partic­ipants having an LVEF of less than 40%. Forty-six (11.9%) of 386 participants had RWMAs. Higher CAC scores were associated with slightly lower LVEF (P for trend = .04) and a greater percentage of participants with decreased PFR (P for trend - .47) and RWMAs (P for trend = .01). After age- and risk factor-adjustment, only RWMA (P = .05) was associated with higher CAC. RWMAs were associated with significantly (P < .001) lower mean LVEF and PFR. Nineteen (41%) of 46 participants with RWMAs had docu­mented Q-wave myocardial infarction, and three (7%) un­derwent coronary revascularization. CAC scores of 100 or greater were associated with a 2.2-fold (95% confidence interval: 1.30, 3.75) increase in RWMA (P < .001).

    Conclusion: Subclinical atherosclerosis assessed by using CAC is associated with an increased future likelihood of RWMA, as a marker of previous and possible subclinical coronary artery disease.